Best-of-Three Scoring
Problem
A player enters a best-of-three match (first to win two games wins the match). Each game is won with probability () and lost with probability , independently across games.
1. For , find the probability that the player wins the match. 2. Two scoring schemes are proposed:
- Scheme 1: the match winner scores points, the loser scores ;
- Scheme 2: the match winner scores point, the loser scores .
Discuss which scheme gives the player the larger expected score, in terms of .
Answer
Solution
| Difficulty | 6/10 |
|---|---|
| Topics | Statistics, probability, Casework |
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